Gold is more than a hedge for Indians, it is an attachment.At best the temple trusts that hold huge cache of the metal will count for the scheme ,not households. Even here the proposed scheme needs to be made attractive and yet the government will be the ultimate gainer as it will have greater leverage. On the monetary front,gold was the shield against inflation and corrective monetary measures kept the balance.But when monetary polices are upended, deflationary recession gets pitted against inflationary pressures of the monetary expansion by the world's most important central banks.Global Quantitative Easing (QE) has injected a huge $10 trillion of into the global economy.
The crisis in Cyprus saw the spectre of imminent sale of its gold to meet debts ,creating a fear that this would spread to other ill placed Eurozone economies that together account for 18 percent of all central bank held gold. .Little later the two largest sources of demand for gold, India and China, ,a consumption boom that started with the onset of the financial crisis, was abruptly halted . Gold prices now plunged
Gold prices have been rendered multifactor-sensitive and the metal has not been able to compete with the dollar or bond market as the spread in gold is far too small to match the capital moving out of any stressed economy, Despite this ,when bullion prices dip, buyers use the opportunity to buy more at reduced prices and the spiral resumes.The fourfold increase in bar and coin retail investment from 2002 to 2011,proves that buying physical gold flourishes in blind addiction..In today's global economic maze even the best of schemes as these ,can not match the unpredictability of the yellow devil.
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