How would we react to say a list culled from visitor's diary of the Chief of RAW or such other investigative / sensitive agencies . I am sure these agencies would have put in place appropriate safeguards to such or similar information that can emanate from compulsions of their operating exigencies and methodology.In the case in point, such recorded details need not have been rendered vulnerable to being brought to light in the first place. This is to be seen divorced from the age old debate of on how much politically en-wrapped such agencies have or have not, since come to be. Agencies dealing with matters of internal /external security and high crime need to be uncompromisingly professional ,in every way.
Monday, September 22, 2014
OUR MARKETS MUST MATURE BEYOND ITS TEENS
It reflects poorly on an economy with strong on going fundamentals that waits with trepidation for a regime change and within days thereafter, chases every other stock to new highs !.That swings will be wilder on say an Israeli- Palestinian flare up or even a substantial QE taper in the US is understandable but to be inexplicably swayed purely by endemic factors, must ride on reckless hope and perhaps greed. That said, weak fault lines continue to exist, be it in the narrow band of retail speculative stock transactions or the dated 30 component Sensex and in other sectoral shares as well. Sensex seems to be largely reduced to a day to day ATM for retail investors , which is fine except that swings then tend to become hugely separated from the core value of a stock . Indian stock markets still remain tied to its nascent days of a command economy wherein speculation and short haul political developments were content to feed on each other .The mindset continues to operate and small investors keep getting hurt.It is time that our stock indices get reworked and investors get wiser to a regimen where fundamentals start prevailing over raw speculation.
Beware the fatal wake of EU
Nations go through economic cycles. The US economy re railing itself after six years of struggle is forecast to grow 3% in 2014,and Japan after two full decades ,at 1.8%. China will touch around 7% in 2014–15, Brazil, Russia and India, are are in contention with structural reforms to regain the lost growth trajectory .All these nations are in command over their own monetary / fiscal policies and over time will help predicate global growth , But not so the eurozone, that contributes as high as 25 % to world trade.Shackled at birth, the EU has a single monetary policy and 11 different fiscal policies.That was the genesis of the great euro debt that at $14 trlln equals the US .Germany may reach respectable growth this year, Italy, France and Spain.will remain very weak at around 0.5%.
When the EU currency was created in 1998 it was suspected that this could prove a recipe for individual profligacy of euro countries that are able to borrow at lower rates than their ability to repay. There is little doubt that the euro economic tale would continue to twist . Germany's reluctance to act as the family head and lift up other members, is already dragging down its own economy.Even Britain , in spite of being a non-EU economy, is suffering no less due to its age old geographic ties with the group.The only hope for the EU nations lies in either a dramatic economic recovery of all others in quick time to enable dissolve / ameliorate their huge debt burden by sheer sentiment or the Euro boat capsizes leaving some to sink and others to swim to shore.The global collective can no longer afford to merely watch as the EU totters from one crisis to another and in the end, its fatal wake pulls down many more
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