The Euro crisis reiterated a lesson, that fiscal policy / monetary-policy regime influence the depth and duration of economic downturns and the time for its recovery. A plethora of big ticket welfare schemes by the UPA-II riding a hubris of growth in its earlier avatar, laid the ground for ponderous deficits leading to an adamant inflation that stunted growth. Food inflation is a different story altogether and a change of government alone is no remedy and we will have to endure it till growth is re railed.That makes IIP of more material concern . This is showing steady improvement The fiscal adage that current spending be balanced by taxation and that reducing deficits on current spending is justified only if it be replaced by capital-spending programs will hold.When carried out in tandem , the nation would ensure that its people can buy and its industries can produce Money and effort spent on Power and other infrastruture in the coming months will serve the economy well.True the next six months would also see us dealing with an afflicted monsoon, volatile crude and a new government settling in and straightening out its priorities.If we can manage to downtrend inflation and uptrend growth ,even in small steps ,we might wake up to a happy new year.
Pub Business Standard Jun 18
http://www.business-standard.com/article/opinion/letters-inflation-and-growth-114061701273_1.html
Pub Business Standard Jun 18
http://www.business-standard.com/article/opinion/letters-inflation-and-growth-114061701273_1.html
No comments:
Post a Comment