It is an enigma of the current monetary times that inflation is teasing world economies both ways- being too low or too high ! .The US had been unleashing massive liquidity through Quantitative Easing for months on end and yet remains desperate for some welcome signs of inflation that could portend growth . India, in spite of severely restricting money circulation ,at the cost of growth,is not able to contain a high and sustained inflation for two years running.. Fiscal profligacy of the US together with its virtual printing of dollars through QE while debilitating its economy, strangely strengthens its currency ! .The flood of dollars and a corresponding squeeze on rupee availability is thus ending up in less dollars per rupee.
Persistent imperfections in an international monetary system that is based on the use of a national currency as the world’s main reserve currency skews exchange rates which in normal times should spur trade to reset equilibrium.Sadly, even as the US is unable to generate demand , India is unable to step up supply due to poor growth,both nations being bogged down on internal policy issues. China's economy is deflating, post an export boom and saddled with idle capacity.The euro zone keeps wrestling with its unresolved structural issues carried from birth. South American nations are into unbearably high inflation levels burdened with huge fiscal deficits .The remedy ought to lie in an universal resolve to re-kindle world trade and place it at a far higher orbit to enable regain global economic order which should see many an anomaly, inflation in particular, abate across economies.
Pub FIN EXPRESS FEB 24
http://www.financialexpress.com/news/letters-to-the-editor/1228682
Pub FIN EXPRESS FEB 24
http://www.financialexpress.com/news/letters-to-the-editor/1228682
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